Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. Rules of the Game - discussing democratic institutions su Apple Podcasts They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. Video What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. By May 21, 2021 0 . Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. Also, CalMatters Politics reporter Laurel Rosenhall and political analyst Paul Mitchell join to discuss the status of the California gubernatorial recall election. Nate Silver's. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Rev. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. The crew discusses why some Republican candidates are changing their tune about the legitimacy of the 2020 election depending on the situation. You can't imitate a worldview. The data behind that evolution is striking. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes : The Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. Biden Is Set To Be The Next President | FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 min read. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. How COVID-19 Affected Tuesday's Vote l FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. Glastonbury's new town manager to make $190,000 The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. No place like 'Nam. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. What's the Point (FiveThirtyEight Podcast) Theme - SoundCloud The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. So, the usual. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. This is the first episode. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. File Upload. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - lavamusic.is With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. Podcast Transcription Generator- Transcribe Online | Type Studio The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. FiveThirtyEight Politics Show - PodCenter - ESPN Radio Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford on Stitcher On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. . The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. The Downballot: Americans are more liberal than you think, with Rachael Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". . The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. 266, the . They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. RSS Loading. Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. Accuracy is not guaranteed. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . Politics Podcast - FiveThirtyEight The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - masrurratib.com Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. [00:00:19] Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation.